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Thursday, 15 November 2018
 

Talk of the Hour, The Lifting of the American Embargo is not Void of Logic

It is a big mistake to think that things will just stay as they are and as continuing unchangeable indefinitely. An orientation as such can be described as sheer misreading to realities on the ground historically. This is exactly the position of the opposition regarding the issue of the American sanctions. It is of the belief that the antagonistic stance of the West, especially America, against the present government, will just continue like this unendingly. But, the winds that the ships do not desire are noticed as coming violently and forcibly. Surprisingly, unexpectedly and abruptly, this long time ago imposed embargo has just been ended. 
Indeed, the ending of the sanctions are not without positive and negative reactions. As the government of Sudan has got much happier and delighted with their removal, the opposition, on the other hand, is noticed as being in a state of deep frustration and depression, so to speak. Of course, America has its own reasons to justify this shift of stances and attitudes. 
 It is worth mentioning that the opposition, especially the armed factions, has tried all types of methods to get rid of the incumbent government militarily and electronically. But, alas, all of them have been doomed to an utter failure. 
Historically, the Sudan people’s libration movement/army (SPLM/A), is the very illustrative example of this. It was noticed as having great and unlimited expectations that it was much qualified to rule the whole country singularly, from Halfa in the farthest North to Nimule in the farthest South of the country. Its project of the new Sudan that is to be built on the ruins and remnants of the obsolete old fashioned Sudan is the main mechanism to realize their dream.
In order to attain the goal, SPLM/A had got engaged in fighting feverishly all the successive governments that have ruled the country invariably, including the current one. But, alas, to no avail so to speak. It goes without saying that a situation as such is not without an irony. SPLM/A  and throughout its history, has not managed to reach the suburbs of Juba, let alone Halfa or even Khartoum Itself. Therefore, its dream of ruling the country has just evaporated and gone with the wind. Presently, SPLM/A has just ended up as only partially oriented. It has just ignored the idea of establishing a new Sudan that is to embraces all, northerners and southerners alike. Rather, it restricts its efforts to only founding a separate independent state of its own creation. It is South Sudan.
But, despite this, still the idea of the project does not die. SPLM/A has succeeded in the making of   SPLM/N as an arm to and a physical representation of it in the territories of Sudan. Sadly, SPLM/N has also been a failure in accomplishing the dream of the new Sudan as dominating the whole lands of the country. Now, SPLM/N has ended up by raising the slogan of self determination to the two areas; South Kordofan and the Blue Nile.  In other words, the project of the new Sudan has become a very impossible mission to realize by both SPLM/A  and SPLM/N.
SPLM/A  and SPLM/N aside, the other factions of the opposition of Sudan, also, are not the exclusion from this pattern of weakness and failure. Since the advent of the incumbent government in 1989 and up to this very moment, they are discovered as so weak to uproot it militarily and none. Once this opposition is defeated in a battlefield, then this is the time that it is to be doomed to failure in another. Even when they invented other advanced methods, especially electronically, they have also been forced to drink from the same soar and bitter cup; series of continual humiliations unceasingly, so to speak.
This weakness of the opposition has let it pay the price dearly. Change of stances is the apparent and natural consequence. The West, especially America, as the sole supporter of the opposition, has been perceived as siding strongly with government of Sudan.
Moreover, America believes strongly that it is this government of Sudan, not the opposition that is competent enough in combating many and various emerging dangerous phenomena that have constituted real threats to peace and stability locally and externally. The government of Sudan has clearly shown that it has the ability to deal competently and efficiently with the following: the ongoing conflict of South Sudan; trade in human trafficking; combat of terrorism and extremism and illegal immigration locally and regionally. 
In addition, the option of America to reconcile with Sudan has much to do with its desire to exchange interests and have business there with it mutually.
Sure, America is no longer tolerant and patient as seeing its interests and business tasks as pending unlimitedly and unendingly. It insists as never repeating past mistakes when it regrettably quits Sudan in the 1980s. Its desertion of the oil sphere in Sudan has left behind a big vacuum to be filled later by China appropriately and vigorously.
Lastly, there are the Jewish, Christian and black lobbies that are also considered as a factor to accelerate the removal of the embargo by America from Sudan. After the severing of Sudan ties with Iran, the Jewish lobby is no longer seen as a stumbling block towards normalization of relations between Washington and Khartoum. Further, the separation of South Sudan from Sudan, which the black and Christian lobbies have mainly stood behind and supported, has largely contributed in boosting the lifting of the embargo. 
In conclusion, we can say this; the lifting of the sanctions from Sudan is not without logic to consolidate.  The weakness of the opposition to get rid of the present government encourages America to change its stance towards it. It is no longer the supporter of the opposition, but rather of the current government, by quickly lifting the load of the embargo from its back. America reaches an irrevocable conviction that a subject matter as such has been of crucial importance and is widely associated with achieving unlimited interests with Sudan mutually. This is in addition to restoration of old benefits, especially in the field of oil. It has got much envious that such an advantage has already been merely and exclusively monopolized by China.  And the fact that lobbies such as the Jewish, the Christian and the black have already changed their stances towards Sudan positively; have given much impetus to the removal of the American sanctions from it immediately and promptly.